Three paths compared over 3 years: stay on MPLS, run hybrid (MPLS at HQ + SD-WAN at branches), or go full SD-WAN over broadband. Includes a sensitivity slider for sites where business broadband isn't available — the question most migration models skip.
Six inputs. The sensitivity analysis is at the bottom.
Not every site can get business-class broadband. Rural locations, industrial parks, and international offices often need LTE/5G fixed wireless or Starlink fallback — which is still cheaper than MPLS, but not by as much. Slide to model what happens at X% of your sites.
What an average site pays under each path. The structural difference is what drives the 3-year gap.
All three paths plotted. The gap widens as MPLS escalates and SD-WAN scales without per-Mbps premiums.
Where the money goes each year. Year 1 includes implementation; years 2-3 show steady-state.
| Year | MPLS | Hybrid | Full SD-WAN | MPLS vs SD-WAN delta |
|---|
All numbers are vendor-neutral midpoints based on published list pricing, Telarus carrier benchmark data, and recent SD-WAN implementation case studies. Real circuits vary by region — Tier 1 metro is cheaper than rural, and lit-building access changes the math significantly. Treat this as a planning baseline and validate against 2-3 actual carrier quotes.
MPLS path
$1,200-3,000/site/mo).$200/site/mo (broadband secondary).5% (typical telco renewal escalator).$2,500/site, one hit in 5-year cycle (modeled as ~1/3 of sites refreshing in the 3-year window).Hybrid path
2 × user broadband cost per site (primary + backup for resilience).$2,500 (entry) / $5,000 (mid) / $9,000 (premium) per site, capex Y1.$60/$120/$200/site/mo by tier.$50/$100/$200/site/mo by self/co-managed/managed.$800/site one-time Y1.Full SD-WAN path
3 months × current MPLS cost typically required for early termination, but offset by avoided MPLS spend during transition.Broadband availability sensitivity
$300/site/mo for unlimited business-class.$450/site/mo for Stationary or Mobile tier.$375/site/mo.Bandwidth-need adjustments
PDF includes the full 3-year side-by-side, year-by-year breakdown, per-site economics, sensitivity analysis at multiple broadband-unavailable rates, and a 7-item migration risk checklist for the planning conversation.
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